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Plus: Big Week for Stocks
Good Morning & Happy Monday!
Weâre diving into Nvidiaâs high-stakes earnings, a historic $1.46 billion crypto heist, and why Morgan Stanley thinks the US stock exodus wonât last. Plus, Buffett doubles down on equities, and Microsoft shakes up its data center strategy.
Grab your flat white and let's get into it! âď¸đď¸
Markets
𧨠Nvidia Earnings - Brace For Volatility
Nvidiaâs earnings will be a major test for the AI trade after a slow start to the year. Even a strong report may not reignite momentum, with concerns over Chinaâs DeepSeek, slowing growth, and export restrictions looming. The options market expects a 7% swing, potentially shifting $230 billion in market value, so be braced for volatility.
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đŚ Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan say flight from US stocks wonât last
US stocks wonât stay out of favor for long, thanks to strong economic growth and earnings potential. Despite lagging global peers in 2025, concerns over Trumpâs policies, high valuations, and Chinaâs DeepSeek have weighed on sentiment. But Morgan Stanleyâs Michael Wilson sees capital returning, calling the S&P 500 the âhighest quality indexâ with the best earnings growth prospects.

đ°ď¸ Buffett Says 'Substantial Majority' of Berkshire Shareholders' Money in Stocks
Warren Buffett reassured Berkshire Hathaway shareholders that despite a record $334.2 billion cash pile, equities remain the priority. The companyâs Q4 operating earnings surged 70% to $14.53 billion, but Buffett emphasized, âThe great majority of your money remains in equities.â That stance, he said, âwonât change.â
đŤ The Largest Theft in History - Following the Money Trail from the Bybit Hack
On February 21, 2025, Bybit suffered the largest crypto heist ever, losing $1.46 billion to hackers. Reports suggest malware tricked the Dubai-based exchange into approving fraudulent transactions. This theft surpasses the $611 million Poly Network hack in 2021 and even Saddam Husseinâs $1 billion theft from Iraqâs Central Bank in 2003, making it one of the biggest heists in history.
Quick News
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New Indonesia sovereign wealth fund to invest $20 billion in projects.
AI

Microsoft is reportedly scaling back on U.S. data center expansion, canceling leases amounting to hundreds of megawatts, according to TD Cowen. The company has also halted the conversion of Statements of Qualification (SOQ) into formal leases, a strategy previously used by Meta when cutting capital expenditures.
This move suggests a potential oversupply in the data center market and a shift in Microsoftâs growth strategy. While the company had planned to spend $80 billion this fiscal year on AI data centers, some analysts now question whether itâs becoming more cautious about future demand.
Despite the pullback, Microsoft insists its infrastructure spending plans remain on track. In a statement Monday, the company reiterated its $80 billion commitment, emphasizing that it will âcontinue to grow strongly in all regions.â However, it acknowledged that spending may be âstrategically paced or adjustedâ in some areas.
With AI driving massive infrastructure investments, Microsoftâs recalibration raises key questions about the balance between growth and efficiency in the data center market.
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