📈 Q4 Rally Incoming?

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Good Morning & Happy Wednesday

In today’s edition: markets react to the U.S. government shutdown, CoreWeave lands a massive deal with Meta, and EA heads for a $55B buyout. Plus, we dig into gold’s outlook, dollar dominance, and the timeless lessons of bear markets and speculation.

Grab your Cappucino and let’s get into it. ☕️ 👇️ 

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Market News

📉 Traders’ Guide to Markets as US Government Shuts Down
Markets are rattled after the U.S. government slipped into its first shutdown in nearly 7 years, with Congress failing to strike a funding deal. Futures dipped, volatility spiked, and key economic data will now go dark, leaving investors flying blind. This time, Wall Street isn't brushing it off, especially with threats of mass firings and a fragile job market already on edge. The stakes? A prolonged shutdown could shake confidence in the world’s largest economy just as valuations look stretched and traders brace for a volatile Q4.

☁️ CoreWeave Stock Jumps 12% After Meta Deal
CoreWeave continues its rapid ascent, with its valuation up 63% over the past three weeks, bolstered by a series of major partnerships in the AI infrastructure space. The latest deal? A long-term agreement with Meta worth up to $14.2 billion through 2031, expanding CoreWeave’s role as a key cloud provider for large-scale AI workloads. That contract follows similar multi-billion-dollar agreements with Nvidia and OpenAI, bringing CoreWeave’s total recent commitments to over $42 billion.

📊 Stocks Have Had a Big 2025, What’s in store for Q4?
Historically, Q4 has been the strongest stretch for U.S. stocks, and with the S&P 500 up nearly 14% so far this year, including a rare September rally, analysts are eyeing more gains ahead. Bank of America and Goldman Sachs both point to favorable seasonal trends, with December often driving most of the quarter’s returns, helped by factors like investor optimism and tax planning.

✈️ Boeing Is Reportedly Working on 737 Max Successor. Here’s Why That Matters
Boeing is reportedly developing a next-generation single-aisle jet to eventually succeed the 737 Max, aiming to reclaim market share lost to Airbus. According to The Wall Street Journal, CEO Kelly Ortberg met with Rolls-Royce to discuss a new engine, potentially marking a shift from Boeing’s long-time reliance on GE-Safran engines. The move signals a push to restore Boeing’s reputation and position itself for future growth.

🎮️ EA Is going Private
Electronic Arts is set to go private in a $55 billion buyout backed by Silver Lake, Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF), and Jared Kushner’s Affinity Partners. The deal, approved by EA’s board, is expected to close in fiscal Q1 2027 pending shareholder and regulatory approval, making it one of the largest public company buyouts on record.

Invest & Strategies

🥇 Gold Is Forecast to Rise 6% by the Middle of 2026
Goldman Sachs expects gold to rise 6% to $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026, driven by strong demand from central banks and potential Fed easing. After gaining over 40% in 2025, analysts see continued support from both conviction buyers like central banks and ETFs, as well as growing interest from emerging markets. With no near-term reversal expected in official sector buying, Goldman says the risk is more likely to the upside than a pullback.

🐻 How Bear Markets Work
Bear markets may feel brutal in real time, but history shows they often follow a familiar pattern, sharp declines followed by V-shaped recoveries, like the one seen in April. Despite short-term volatility, long-term bull markets far outweigh the losses, making a strong case for staying invested through the ups and downs.

😥 The Cost of Never Saying Enough
The key lesson from Schwed’s story is knowing when enough is enough, speculative wins can be thrilling, but failing to set limits invites ruin. Investing works best when it’s consistent and boring, not driven by the chase for outsized returns. Most who gamble big don’t walk away in time, and that’s how fortunes vanish.

🇺🇸 Digging into Dollar Dominance
Dollar dominance gives the U.S. a powerful global edge, but it’s not guaranteed to last. Its strength stems from deep-rooted trade ties, reserve status, and financial infrastructure, but tariffs, monetary shifts, and geopolitical moves can erode that position over time. The key takeaway: global trust in the dollar is built slowly, but can be chipped away faster than many expect.

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