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š How to survive the Chaos
Plus: Big Bond Sell Off
Good morning!
Tariff turmoil, a wild swing, and big questions about Americaās manufacturing future, todayās edition dives into the dramatic swings on Wall Street, Trumpās sweeping new tariffs on China and the EU, and whether all this economic chaos could actually bring jobs back home. Plus: why even Treasuries arenāt safe anymore.
Grab your flat white and letās break it down āļøšļø
Markets
BREAKING - CHINA STRIKES BACK WITH 84% Tariff (this is a breaking story added after Investing Journal was scheduled to send, to read more check out this live feed)
š¢ Hugely Volatile Tuesday
Markets flipped hard Tuesday, what started as a massive rally turned into a late-day nosedive. The Dow dropped 300 points, erasing a 1,500-point surge, while the S&P 500 fell 1.6% and the Nasdaq slid 2.2% after soaring earlier in the day.
Investors are jittery over the Trump administrationās tariff threats, with no sign of retreat yet, despite ongoing talks with key allies like Japan and South Korea. China's retaliatory move last week only fueled the uncertainty, leaving Wall Street on edge.
Tariffs went into effect overnight, With markets around the world suffering. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index sank 2.3%
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šļø Can Tariffs Bring American Factories Back To Life?
Trumpās tariffs are aimed at reviving U.S. manufacturing, but experts arenāt buying it. Labor costs remain a huge hurdle, with American workers earning over $70K a year, compared to $13K in China and just $2.3K in India.
Despite the rhetoric, the U.S. is still a top global manufacturer, just one that focuses on high value goods, not mass production. For many companies, itās still cheaper to pay the tariff than bring jobs back home. So can tariffs really bring American factories back to life?
šØš³ The humongous 104% tariff on China is live
The staggering 104% total duty now hits Chinese goods, made up of layers: 20%, then 34%, then a last-minute 50% hike signed Tuesday. Despite warnings from CEOs and economists, Trumpās team is standing firm, with trade advisor Peter Navarro declaring tariffs ānon-negotiable.ā Meanwhile, Citi slashed Chinaās growth forecast to 4.2%, and more cuts from Wall Street could follow.
šŖšŗ The EU Scrambles to Respond
The EU just got blindsided by its ally. With Trumpās latest tariffs hitting 70% of EU exports, valued at over ā¬532 billion, Europe is now stuck between retaliation and restraint. Trade ministers met in Luxembourg, vowing unity and resolve, but left without concrete action. France called the U.S. move "aggressive and arbitrary," while EU officials hinted at countermeasures, but also warned that escalation could hurt Europeās own economy just as much.
šØ Big Bond Sell Off
Even Treasuries arenāt safe anymore. Investors are dumping U.S. government bonds, the ultimate āsafeā asset, as the tariff-driven market chaos deepens. Hedge funds are unwinding risky ābasis trades,ā and spreads are collapsing across the board.
Quick News
A Rollercoaster Market Means Investors Should Sit Tight.
Trump savages "rebel" Republicans trying to quash his tariff powers.
Republicans are going public with their growing worries about Trump's tariffs.
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Economy China says it will continue to take āresolute and forcefulā countermeasures as U.S. tariffs kick in.
Investing
Last weekās market meltdown was historic. The S&P 500 dropped 4.8% on Thursday, then sank another 6% Friday, a staggering 10.5% two-day loss, ranking among the five worst since 1950. Only 1987, 2008, and 2020 compare.
As chaos hit Wall Street, Ben Carlson was heading to a Florida waterpark with his family, a reminder that life goes on, even when markets fall apart. His point? Donāt let panic drive your decisions. You can't control the markets, but you can control your strategy:
Automate smart habits
Diversify
Ignore short-term noise
Nick Maggiulli adds that the marketās now 17.6% off its February highs, and recoveries take time. Knowing that helps investors stay grounded when everything feels like itās spinning. Volatility is part of the journey. Planning is your lifeboat.
Best of Social Media
You can't make this up:
The 10-year note yield now up +60 basis points in 48 hours.
At this rate, we will have 8% mortgages and a recession by the end of the month.
Talk about a turn of events.
ā The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter)
3:50 AM ⢠Apr 9, 2025
Apple reportedly flew in 5 planes full of iPhones into the U.S. to avoid tariffs
ā Dexerto (@Dexerto)
7:04 PM ⢠Apr 8, 2025