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- 📈 3 Recession Proof Stocks?
Today's edition is brought to you by BOXABL – revolutionizing housing with their investment round closing tomorrow.
Good morning & Happy Friday!
This week has been all about mixed signals. Markets swung on tariff news, oil prices kept climbing amid geopolitical pressure, and recession fears took center stage, again. But Lance Roberts has a solid piece that pushes back on the panic, offering a clearer take on where the U.S. economy actually stands.
Grab your cappuccino and let’s get into it. ☕️👇️
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Markets
📉 Tariff Whiplash
Just as the stock market started gaining traction, optimism got blindsided by a fresh tariff twist. The S&P 500 had climbed into the 5,700s after President Trump suggested the April 2 tariffs would be less severe than expected, sparking a long, awaited relief rally. But momentum fizzled fast when new auto tariffs were suddenly announced, dragging the index back below 5,700 by Thursday. Volatility is the new normal.
3️⃣ Three Stocks that Outperformed the S&P 500 During the Great Recession
With the economy already on shaky ground, President Trump’s escalating tariffs and trade wars are stoking fresh fears of a recession, especially as consumers pull back on spending due to rising costs and affordability concerns. If prices climb even higher, it could push the U.S. economy over the edge — and investors are starting to look for safety. One strategy? Look to the past: during the Great Recession from 2007 to 2009, the S&P 500 plunged 36%, but some stocks still managed to thrive, and those could be worth watching again.
🚗 These Car Stocks Could Feel the Most Pain Under Trump's Auto Tariffs
Auto stocks nosedived Thursday after Trump slapped a 25% tariff on all imported vehicles and parts, a move analysts warn could wreck supply chains and jack up prices nearly 12% for consumers. JPMorgan doubled its cost estimate to $82 billion annually if the industry absorbs the hit. Some manufacturers could feel more pain than others.
🎮️ Ubisoft’s shares surge 11% on deal to spin off top game franchises
Ubisoft shares surged 11% Friday after the company announced a major shakeup: it’s spinning off blockbuster franchises like Assassin’s Creed, Far Cry, and Rainbow Six into a new subsidiary, backed by a €1.16 billion ($1.25B) investment from Tencent. The French game maker says the new unit will focus on building long-lasting, multi-platform ecosystems.
🛢️ Oil rises for a third week straight
Oil prices were on track for a third weekly gain Friday as the U.S. tightened the screws on Venezuela and Iran, fueling supply concerns despite broader fears that the ongoing tariff war could dent global demand. The rally was driven largely by shifting oil sanctions, with President Trump announcing fresh 25% tariffs on buyers of Venezuelan crude just days after targeting China’s imports from Iran. The moves rattled trade flows, with shipments to China stalling and India’s Reliance Industries reportedly halting Venezuelan oil imports altogether, adding fresh volatility to an already tense market.
Quick News
China’s Xi calls on top executives to help ‘uphold global order’ as trade tensions with U.S. rise.
AppLovin Stock Tumbles After Short-Seller Report Alleging ‘Scammy’ Practices.
Open source devs are fighting AI crawlers with cleverness and vengeance.
CoreWeave raises $1.5 billion in scaled-back IPO, this is the largest tech IPO in years, but much smaller than anticipated.
Why it’s now impossible to buy a 100% ‘Made in the USA’ car.
Coming to a store near you: double-digit coffee price hikes.
ECONOMY
U.S. Recession Risks Not As High As The Media Suggests
If you’re watching recession headlines pile up and wondering whether the sky is actually falling, Lance Roberts just dropped a piece that’s absolutely worth your time. Over at Real Investment Advice, Roberts takes a hard look at the recent wave of economic panic, fueled by Goldman Sachs, Moody’s, and a media eager to tie every market dip to a looming downturn, and offers a far more grounded take.
While markets have sold off and sentiment has taken a hit, Roberts reminds us that not every correction signals a collapse. In fact, the underlying data shows continued expansion, not contraction. He points out that recession calls often rely on lagging indicators, and even in prior downturns, official recognition came well after the fact. His analysis cuts through the noise with context on economic indicators like the EOCI and LEI, both of which show the economy still in solid shape.
Bottom line? The headlines may scream “recession,” but the evidence says “slowdown.”, This article is well worth a read.
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